Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000152 0.000168 0.000186 0.000206 0.000229 0.000254 0.000283
2025-04-13 0.000114 0.000136 0.000161 0.000193 0.000232 0.000279 0.000339
2025-04-20 0.000096 0.000121 0.000152 0.000193 0.000247 0.000316 0.000412
2025-04-27 0.000086 0.000113 0.000148 0.000197 0.000265 0.000358 0.000496
2025-05-04 0.000076 0.000104 0.000141 0.000196 0.000276 0.000390 0.000569
2025-05-11 0.000070 0.000098 0.000137 0.000198 0.000289 0.000427 0.000654
2025-05-18 0.000063 0.000092 0.000132 0.000196 0.000298 0.000456 0.000730
2025-05-25 0.000058 0.000086 0.000127 0.000195 0.000305 0.000484 0.000808
2025-06-01 0.000053 0.000081 0.000122 0.000192 0.000310 0.000509 0.000882
2025-06-08 0.000048 0.000074 0.000115 0.000185 0.000308 0.000520 0.000935
2025-06-15 0.000046 0.000072 0.000114 0.000188 0.000321 0.000559 0.001044
2025-06-22 0.000044 0.000070 0.000113 0.000192 0.000336 0.000605 0.001173
2025-06-29 0.000040 0.000065 0.000108 0.000186 0.000336 0.000622 0.001250
2025-07-06 0.000036 0.000060 0.000100 0.000177 0.000326 0.000621 0.001291
2025-07-13 0.000034 0.000057 0.000098 0.000177 0.000336 0.000660 0.001427
2025-07-20 0.000032 0.000056 0.000097 0.000180 0.000352 0.000715 0.001610
2025-07-27 0.000030 0.000053 0.000095 0.000180 0.000360 0.000751 0.001756
2025-08-03 0.000029 0.000052 0.000094 0.000181 0.000372 0.000802 0.001947
2025-08-10 0.000027 0.000050 0.000091 0.000180 0.000378 0.000838 0.002108
2025-08-17 0.000026 0.000047 0.000089 0.000179 0.000384 0.000873 0.002274
2025-08-24 0.000024 0.000045 0.000086 0.000176 0.000387 0.000902 0.002430
2025-08-31 0.000023 0.000043 0.000082 0.000170 0.000381 0.000908 0.002519
2025-09-07 0.000022 0.000042 0.000081 0.000172 0.000395 0.000967 0.002781